One of the reasons why gold is not really soaring in price is because the US dollar is in a bull market, and not in a bear market rally. Sure, we will see the US dollar tumble, but that will happen during a bigger degree of a correction. The US dollar started getting a bit more choppy recently which can mean a correction is still in progress. The US dollar can still take another dip to the downside before it resumes its bullish trend.
Waiting for the US dollar to turn into an extended bear market is not going to happen at this time, even though commercial hedgers are in net short positions already. The commercial traders do not confirm bullish COT positions in gold or silver, so I’m pretty confident gold and silver will still act rather subdued in the near term.
Longer-term, the US dollar will soar above the 103.820 price level which would be another all-time record high since the major 2008 bottom. Wishing for a 2001-2008 like US dollar decline is just wishful thinking because there is no room on the charts for that to happen. The Euro is inverse to the US dollar and I’m sure it’s not going to jump out of the USD basket today or tomorrow. This trade war thing started well before President Trump got into power, so you can’t blame all market woes on President Trump. The massive debt bubble that China is creating has been bursting which makes the US dollar the go-to currency of the world.
Have you noticed how fast GM shut down production in Canada and the USA? It’s more a snub towards President Trump as I’m sure any plants outside the US or Canada will be the last to shut down.