Tag Archives: Elliott Wave DJIA

DJIA Record High Intraday Peak Update

 

Since late yesterday, the 5 indices I cover all seemed to peak and then started a strong decline. The peak we see in this intraday chart could be one out of a million, but if we don’t locate this peak then all our wave counts will just be a good guessing game.

The majority of investors are all leveraged to the long side and it’s only a matter of time before they realize that the shit has hit the fan, and they too will start to unload. The stock bubble the world is investing in has far surpassed the stock market mania that peaked in 2000.

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DJIA 2018 Cycle Degree Wave 3 Update

 

This is the CBOT Dow index which only updates during the day. The DJIA just recently broke out to new record highs, but only by the slimmest of margins. This fits the expanded top very well so until this market proves otherwise, I will remain as bearish as I ever have.  Sure it is next to impossiable to know exactly what day this may happen, but when it does it could be a very sharp decline initially.

This may not be obvious until the DOW crashes below the bottom wedge line, after which the bottom support prices at the 23,500 price level would be next to get hit. The 23,500 bottom my supply short-term support but jumping in on that dip will prove costly.  Lucky for wave analsyts that see this coming, but the majority of investors have no clue in what is going to hit them in the next 3 years!

We have a full moon today and only 5 trading days left in this third quarter, so shit can hit the fan when investors least expect it.

The entire 4th wave correction could take until 2022 to finish, which would be a deflationary crash. All the crashes since 2000 have taken a bit longer than the previous bear market, so a Cycle degree crash should be the longest in time.  Any “C” wave bottom that ends would get us to the stock market  Primary degree “A” wave, which should produce a Primary degree counter rally bullish phase! First the DJIA has to display 5 waves down in Minor degree, as gold should go up with 5 waves in Minor degree.

The DOW now shows 2 peaks which are very obviuous, but one peak belongs to the bullish side while the other already belongs to the bearish side!

Just like big bear market rallies, small counter rallies act the same way. Every bearish rally will completley retrace itself, so not until the impending decline starts to exhaust itself will it be safe to take a small bullish position.

The VIX is also getting excited as the COT commercial traders are clearly bullish in the VIX! On any of the US indices, the commercials are net short, so a big leg up in stocks is not what I see that is about to happen.

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DJIA Picture Of A Bubble!

 

Once in a while, I like to post the DJIA with a linear chart setting, as that really shows the all-time history extreme stock mania. This mania will end in a major market decline, which could last well into 2022, or after solar cycle #25 starts. If readers think stocks are still going to the moon, or that Facebook is a “buy” then you have little idea about the shit storm that is coming. Investors always forget previous bubbles as it’s, “Always different this time”. They think it can never happen again.

If you take the 30-year cycle serious enough then count backward 89 years from today and we get 1929, off by one year. Cycles repeat and 89 is just one year off a perfect 3 sets of 30-year cycles.

We are definitely not at some imaginary SC, or GSC peak as modern wave analysts seem to be able to time travel into the future with a click of the mouse! If I did that, I sure wouldn’t time travel into the future, I would rather time travel into the past. We can’t flip numbers and letters around like they were hamburgers, you have to treat every position change much like a doctor handles a heart transplant or operation. There are very specific wave counts that must be confirmed if we are in SC degree in 2018.

Some little correction is not going to fix or deleverage the world, as it will take a 70% correction or more. Any stock market crash is deflationary as even in 2008 nothing was spared except for the US dollar. The boomer generation is retiring at a rate of 10,000 perday for the next 19 years! They are going to be busy on cruise lines not beating on their screens or trying to make a “long term” investment.

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DJIA 1980-2018 Review

 

I made this chart up yesterday and started the count from 1980. From a Cycle degree perspective I need to see or use three degrees below any Cycle degree, otherwise I break the sequential chain. The EWP is not what we see, but is what we are supposed to see if we followed the blue prints or our perception of one. I know there are wave analysts out there that have detailed wave positions, but they have no real money behind their convictions. I can see the most elaborate work but if they miss a stock market crash, or worse yet miss an entire 10 year bull market.

If you see any expert wave counts that do not have every single set of 5 waves capped at all times, then that analysts is spelling it out clearly that he has no clue where he is! If you see a question mark or some “X” wave,  then they also don’t know where they are.

I’m sure not a single wave analysts can draw the simple 5 waves and an extended wave 3 if they were to be tested. (With no Book) If we can’t draw our 5 simple corrections and how they fit together, then how in the world do we know what we are supposed to be looking for.

Intraday wave counting is required for the day traders as I only need to know 3 degree levels below Cycle degree and three degree levels above Cycle degree.  SC, GSC, and Subillennium wave 3 are all ahead of us still many decades away.  There are 30 year cycles always in affect and we can count backwards from our present 2018 top. 89 years, 1 year less than three, 30-year cycles, is also a Fibonacci number. 2018 minus 89 years, gets us back to the 1929 stock market peak, and we all know what followed.

From 1929-1932 it was a three year crash and bear market, that contained a zigzag that stretched much longer than any zigzag ever shown in the EWP book.  If it happens once, it can happen again so now I count with super long “C” waves at the smallest degree level.

This chart is still well below the January peak so a potential expanded pattern is taking place. Even the SP500 which has traveled to new record highs is still part of the single expanded flat I’m tracking.  When it pops is never an exact science, but it sure will surprise all the investors when it does. There is a huge deflationary crash coming just like 1929 and 2007, and no asset class will go unscathed.  A market crash sending the DJIA back to 15,000 for starters would fit very well from my perspective.

I think late 2022 will be a major bottom, but after solar cycle #25 starts to crank up! It’s solar cycle #25 that will save the stock market, so if you have any bearish thoughts and bearish positions at that time your bearish view of the future will be destroyed.

Investing at a record bubble high has trapped the majority all the time. They always tell you to stay invested for the long term, just before markets crash 70-89%!

Needless to say, I’m very bearish on stocks but I also know that a huge bear market rally is going to kill the bears off again.

I will not be investing or trading in the general markets, as the gold sector is my speciality where I have enough experience with.

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DJIA Mini Daily Chart Review.

 

I will be avoiding the actual contract months as much as possible as the real trades can distort wave patterns that are not real. Switching between bar and line mode will tell you that, as there are different wave counts between the two.  I try and always confirm my Cycle degree connections by 3 whole degrees lower, which is the same as being three steps ahead of the crowd.

This DJIA chart has not scored new record highs like the SP500 has done, so it still fits my expanded top very well. The rally that started in April is about as choppy as they come, and is usually an indication it’s fighting against a larger bearish trend.  Gold has done about the same pattern already!

The Gold/Dow ratio is at 21.56: but we  have to reverse this and think it takes over 21 gold ounces to buy one unit of the DOW. Expensive was over 17:1 and at 21:1 it is the most expensive ratio I have for 2018.

Investors around the world are in a government-created inflated record stock market high, all based on free money.  Governments are doing everything to keep this inflated bubble growing. It’s not the size of the bubble that’s really the issue, it’s the size of the “needle” that will prick it which will be the problem! Is Italy going to bring the entire world down or is it going be China or even Japan, as they have gone on a record money printing spree in their entire history. Deflation is in our future not inflation, as the US dollar is in a massive bull market that nobody even believes that it can happen.

Just watch the gold price for the next three years, and you will witness deflation first hand.

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DJIA Index Daily Chart Update:

This is just the DJIA index which still has not made any new record highs since the late January peak. Since about Marc/April 2018 the DJIA has created a real choppy rally which indicates that the DJIA is struggling against the larger trend which is still down.  It will take very little downside to push the 50-day MA into the 200-day MA and next thing you know the Death Cross has formed. A Death Cross indicates a long term decline, with the Death Cross still to happen on the weekly and monthly charts.

Gold is also crashing, so it’s just a matter of time before the markets join gold with it’s price crash.  Since this pattern could be part of a zigzag crash the DJIA could end up at the major “A” wave bottom in Primary degree together with gold.   After the “A” wave has bottomed, then any flat scenerio will act just like any zigzag. Gold and the DJIA “B” wave rally could sync up together, and both crash down to the 2021 Cycle degree wave IV bottom. Even after gold and the DJIA crash together, they could also rise together for another 8 or more year bull market. Gold investors will not figure this out when it happens, but the short story is, “Deflation” is coming and no amount of electronic money printing will stop it. It’s the world wide fertility crash that will case the deflation as the entire boomer genertion will be dying off by 2050.

The boomer generation will be permanent sellers of real estate (static asset) . The rich own 80% of all the wealth and most of that are static investemnts. Those hanging on to investment homes, expecting 5% or 10% a month rise to continue, are being very gready as they do not do the hard work to earn this rise.

No trend lasts forever as inflated home prices helps no one .

All this time the US dollar will be soaring as that represents deflation. Our Fed banks are fighting an old inflationary war when they raise the rates. According to the Warren Buffet indicator, the markets are twice as expensive as the time during the 2000. bubble top. Eventually, we could see the DJIA crash down to the 7000, (SP500 at 750) price level, before any real bottom will present its self to the majority.

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1987+31 Years = 2018! DJIA Impending Crash Update

 

This is the DJIA index chart and I have been doing some basic calculations, counting forwards and backwards using the 30 year cycle. This 30 year cycle has a plus or minus error of 1 year. When I first checked this by counting 100 years backwards to 1918 and then to 2101 I found this frequency to be so consistent that nothing on this planet can match this forecasting indicator. If you are ready or not, there is a huge market crash coming 30 years after the 1987 crash, and 89 years from the 1929 peak.

This 89-year Fibonacci number is only off 1 year and we have 3, 30 year cycles completed. There are many other dates that all fit very well including the 100 year cycle, like 1918 + 100  years!  Cycle degree wave 3 has already ended in most part, while gold has also ended its Cycle degree mania peak in 2011. You can’t fight cycles escpecially this 30 year cycle. Throw in the solar cycles as well, and this 2021 time period is going to get interesting to say the least. You can’t beat solar cycles, so counting waves with the solar cycles in mind should never be forgotten.

The Death Cross in the DJIA is still going to happen on the daily charts, so longer term stocks are going to get hit with huge price declines. (Deflation) This fall will tell us more, which should be followed by a massive gold and stock market rally lasting into the mid-2019 time period. Deflation is the real threat as the USD will remain strong during the entire time, except by the end of this year. The USD can crash and burn sending gold and stocks back up, in a wild bear market rally that will shock stock and gold investors alike.

Since all my wave analysis is dedicate to Cycle degree, it makes it easy to forecast any SC and GSC degree future peaks. This 30 year cycle is not going away folks as the next 3 cycle peaks would be 2041, 2071 and 2101. How these 30 year cycles form is my speciality which only my paid one on one clients get to see in detail. Of course all this imformation is all out there for free, but only a few will do the work required to confirm these cycles. Many of my indicators have been developed in-house as I do not need any expert to tell me when the markets and gold are going to crash.

We are heading into a deflationary crash folks, where all static investors will get slaughtered as they all become trapped. Being invested at the top of a Death Cross is financial suicide, yet most people are oblivious to what’s going to happen.

The EWP is what you design it to be. If you just want mindless day trading setups, while missing every major move, then that is what you will get. We get from the markets what we want, and if you don’t have a clear goal of what you want planned out, then your hopes and dreams will not get realized.

In well over 2 years 3 months, not a single person has suggested that they are switching over to Cycle degree wave analysis as it requires real money trading to confirm it all. 99.999% of all wave analysts have no skin in the game so it would take someone special to keep Cycle degree analysis going into the future. This blog may only run until Cycle degree wave IV has completed, after which Elliott Wave 5.0 could go dark permanently.

I will never waste my time and money shorting popular companies and indices, as all the short players on this planet are trying to do the same thing. Betting the markets when they are going down is not a game for sissies, as you have to have impeccable timing to make them work well.

 

 

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DJIA 2000-2018 Review

I like to use liear charts once in a while to so the dramatic move the markets have made.  I have it as a Cycle degree wave three top just like gold. The biggest stock market bubble in history does not end with a simple correction.  Bare minimum it needs to go back down and retrace this 5th wave we have finished. I’m sure that stocks and the gold market are going to sync up as they all crash together. There is a time to invest and a time to sell. This is not the time to invest from my perspective. Every stock market and gold markets are sitting on Death Crosses, and investors are oblivious to it. I’m glad I’m only a trader because investors are the ones that get hurt the most.

It might even look like that the DJIA may also grow a zigzag which I will start to keep an eye on.  A deflationary crash is coming that nobody is expecting but only a few.

I have moved all my CAD money to US funds and plan on staying there forever. When I need CAD funds I still have a small long account to work with.

As a trader I need not fear of a meltdown as my home turf or safe-haven is always cash. Go to cash, when things don’t go well and then, “take a knee”  for a few minutes, and start again.  This is not going to end well folks as bubbles bursting never does. This time it’s much worse as gold and oil is also going for a wild ride.

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Dow Index Daily Chart: Hunt For The Death Cross Continues!

If you want to see trillions go up in smoke then just what what happens after the DOW slice through the 200-day MA.  This 50-day, 200-day MA fits into my wave counting style extremely well as the Death Cross (DC) is a powerfull signal that shit is going to hit the fan. All those camplacant stock bulls  have an ugly trip ahead of them because the bears are coming to shred every bull they can catch.  A big bear in a pit of bulls, who do think will win? All the bear has to do is growl like crazy and you will see the stock bulls flee like a bunch of scared rabbits.  All it takes is one bull group to bolt for the exits and you have an instant mini crash.

If there is one warning I can give in all the time I’ve been wave counting,  you don’t want to be bullish in front of a potential Death Cross to come.  We need a very small down plunge and the Death Cross is history.  All that funny money they base their world on will come crashing down. Are you having fun yet, because for the short seller he will have a field day as he rides down the next leg of a bear market.

There is no support for anything in a Cycle degree crash, so let it fall. A world built on phony money and extreme debt does not get cleaned up with a simple correction it could take three years before the final bottom.  Besides, maybe in the fall President Trump will order the trade wars over and and scream. “No More Taxes”  The stock markets would turn and soar for huge gains.

In this crazy world anything is possible, but nothing will stop a decline once it starts rolling down hill.  Gold has already had it’s daily chart Death Cross so everything is going to take a big hit in asset prices.  I have only been using the 50-day 200-day MA a few months but it all depends how you use it that is more important.  Needless to say it fits very well with Cycle degree wave counting, and I incorporated it into the Cycle degree wave counting method.  The next many weeks is going to be critical as we should witness the DOW slow down and refuse to go higher.

 

 

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Dow Index Daily Chart: Hunt For The Death Cross!

  I have increased my chart sizes so they print out in more detail on 8×10 or larger formats. Hopefully, readers will like the higher quality charts for the extra detail.

This is a daily chart and does not move during the night so I can make these charts at any time. The 50-200 day SMA is great, but it all depends on what we want to use it for. I use it to figure out in advance when a Death Cross (DC) or a Golden Cross (GC) is going to happen next. From what I have seen a Death Cross means excatly what it says as the Death Cross can forecast huge swings and bear markets.  Most of this stuff is not rocket science, but many have never heard about crossings as they know no Technical Analysis of any type.

Back around 2011 the last Golden Cross had formed but always lagging to any wave count. Because they are lagging signals, we know a future crossing will happen and they will show up first on the daily charts.  When they are this close together it could just take 10 weeks or so when the 50 day crosses from the top down, and slices through the 200 day line. It’s always the 50 day line that does the slicing as the 200 day SMA line is the slow turtle, so to speak.

Next thing you know the stock market plunges to 20,000 where the 200-day line meets on the weekly charts. No analysts on Wall Street are screaming about an impending Death Cross. At best a few may call the Death Cross after it happens. They’re all asleep at the switch. There is a lot of backchecking I would want to do before using them in the stock markets. Due to the wild swings in commadaties, they work well with my Cycle degree wave counts.

Right now, the markets are always waiting for someone or some report to come out before it decides if the DJIA wants to implode. I believe a serious recession is in the wind, bordering on a depression and this so-called “correction” is just the start of a much bigger crash than anyone suspects. We are dealing with a Cycle degree bear market where a huge counter rally (bear market rally) will try and fool all of us again.  The markets will have little problem in sucking back investors, when they think the worst is over.  Any “B” wave in Primary degree will get completely retraced. I treat the total retracement of a bear market rally, as something chiseled in stone, as it’s not something I invented. The EWP book is full of the words, “always and never”, so I use always or equivalent expressions.

Any low targets are usually close to the September October time periods and we might get to the Primary degree “A” wave by that time. This could also sync up with the potential of gold’s “A” wave bottom of Primary degree as well. That would be a good trick even if it’s close. In good times the majority is never prepared for bad times, and this time it shouldn’t be any different! The stock market party has ended folks, and Elvis has left the building. No amount of cheering will bring him back.  🙄

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DJIA Daily Chart Update: Are The Bears Back In Control?

This DJIA chart has not produced any new record highs in well over 4 months and it even has a lower wave 2 then the SP500 has. I treat this low as a running zigzag as they do happen. I stay away from calling anything “truncated” but a low wave 2 means that the market is more bearish than the majority think. The big clue that the last few months is a bearish rally, is the very fact that the rally produced an extremely choppy pattern. This tells me the rally is going against a larger trend, which would be down.

The Cycle degree wave 3 peak is still holding and hopefully it will not be knocked off, as I want my Cycle degree sequences to last for the rest of stock market history.  Eventually, we will get a major stock market bottom that will be another fantastic buying opportunity. Of course the majority will never get it, as they will be ill prepared in what to do when it does hit a major low again.  Wave 3 can produce declines that will stun the majority like dear caught in the headlights. In this case its more like the “bulls” are caught in the headlights as the bears return to shred this bull market psychology once more.

Recently one of my DJIA posts has been published in Market Forum and this is the link to it. This is all very good exposure and I thank the author for posting it.

When this market goes down, many other asset classes will also get dragged down,  just like what happen in 2008. Needless to say I’m bearish until such a time a counter rally is going to be big enough, to force players to reverse their positions.  I’m sure that in the future we will get price forecasts claiming that the DJIA  is going to 5000, 3000 or even 1000.

When all the analysts are in concensus, then this is when the markets will turn and go in the opposite direction. When the DJIA 5000 price forecasts are broadcast far and wide, then it’s a pretty safe bet to call for DJIA to hit 45,000. Mind you it may take until 2029 to play out.

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DJIA 1977-2018 Review

Chances are very good that you could search the entire Internet for a wave count that dosen’t have a bunch of indicators on it. Wave analysts use smoke and mirror to baffle us with bullshit.  The problem with modern high degree wave counting is that they miss too many bull markets.  The main reason that the majority of wave counting experts are in SC or GSC degree is because they do not look for wave extensions. If we go back to 1977 I show three sets of wave 2 bottoms each one, being one degree lower in sequence. This produced a massive extension until the 2000 peak.

I was still a GSC degree wave counter in 2000 which forced me to flip numbers and letters around like I flip hamburgers on a grill. Every time we lay down a number or letter we are also moving forwards or backwards in time.  Imagine how much time difference there is between an Intermediate degree wave 3 in 2000 and a GSC degree wave 3 for the same peak. With a difference of 4 degree levels we could be early by 100 years or more.

They are calling the 2009 bear market the,”Great Recession”, This is milder sounding than the “Great Depression”. Depressions happen in large degree wave 2 crashes, but most of them happened in times where there were no safety nets. Today the government can just auto deposit funds to the poor and negate or buffer any depression. When we look at the DOW at the 1932 low, you would never know that a depression existed at all. Markets crashed into the 1932 bottom after which the stock market produced a 5 year bull market.  At that time it was the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of March, 13, 1930 that killed the markets. Does this sound familiar with the trade wars going on in 2018? We might get the “Great Recession 2.0” but we should not get a depression, at the next Cycle degree wave 4 bottom. By the time they do call it a “Depression” it will be over, and Cycle degree wave 5 will be underway. This is when 5 waves up in Primary degree will be very important to understand, and what that 5 wave sequence will terminate at.

We are still years away from any major corrective bottom as solar cycle #24 has to end first. Many of market crashes have happened just a year or so before the next solar cycle started, so this could take us until 2021 to realize.

Every bull market comes to an end so if they think markets can stay  in a permanent high they we are making a big mistake. Investors just love to buy high, as they sure hate stocks when they are at major lows. This will never change as human emotions take over and all logic reasoning is thrown out the window.

The Gold/Dow ratio is at 19.5:1 with 17:1 already being expensive.  In May 2018 this ratio was 18.63:1 so the DOW got a bit more expensive since then.

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DJIA Intraday Bullish Phase Update

The secondary bottom on the 9th of February is a bit truncated or short of breaking new lows while all other indices I cover did travel to a new low. I’m allowing the 4th wave to dip into my wave 1 in Minute degree at this time, but may have to change that at a later date.

Right now we have a small correction in progress, so it sure looks like another leg up can still happen during the rest of this month. The DJIA is about 1200 points away from hitting another world record high, which can be easily achieved once the DJIA moves “vertical” again.

On the first Friday of every month, the employment reports come out which can bring bearish news or very bullish news. Any bullish news that does not push the DJIA much higher would be a bearish indicator, as this bullish phase could run out of steam in the next week or so.

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DJIA Index Bullish Rally: Just Keeps On Trucking!

Each one of the 5 indices I cover, has slightly different wave patterns for this bullish run.  From the bottom, this rally can now fit into an impulse, (slightly Truncated).  One more wild spike to the upside and this market could break yet another new record high. One other little thing I haven’t mentioned, is that at the top we have a big open gap that one day will still get close off.

Any sudden move to the downside may produce another double bottom type of a move, which would be followed with a potential bullish “C” wave.  Yes, the decline looks like a set of 5 waves, but these 5 waves could be part of an expanded correction still linked to the bull market.

The Nasdaq is the one index that is closer to new record highs than all the others, and the other 4 would have to play a bit of catch-up!  We know that has happened before, so anything that has happened once in any degree level, can happen again.  One minute a SC correction can take 3 years, (1929-1932) and then 5 years later a Cycle degree correction takes 5 years. (1937-1942).  How long something can take to correct is influenced by the solar cycles. The 2008 bottom is a clear example of how our sun can dramatically change the direction of the stock markets.

Betting on bearish cycles to continue after any new solar cycle starts is doomed to fail. All the bearish wave counts of 2009 failed due to solar cycle #24 turning up!  The last thing I want to see is that we learn nothing from the late 2008 solar cycle turning, but I’m very confident that investors will be oblivious to this fact, and stock market history will repeat itself.  Any person that has an interest in the solar cycles should be watching the progression on a weekly basis. Once solar cycle #25 arrives, you will witness a profound change from a bear market to a bull market.

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DJIA Index Update

This is the DJIA index, which does not move during the night sessions, but only moves during the day. Todays decline does not match the Mini DJIA, but it sure is forming waves that are  better to count out.  The commercial traders are net short the DJIA but not to anything I would consider extreme.  If commercials are net short the DJIA then this does not give us confidence in thinking that some super bull market is about to take off!

Ultimately, this February rally should get completely retraced, then we may have more analysts turn bearish.  Sure, we may not hear about the fundamentals that are causing this decline, but I’m sure the media will find the reasons and then they will all sound like parrots  regurgitating the fundamentals why this market has trashed.  Any, 10%, 20%, 30%, 40%, 50% or even a 60% correction may not complete a Cycle degree correction.  Price is sure not going to help, as we would need to see a very big corrective wave structure completing first. In my world, pattern dominates price any day of the year.

Death Cross

With this particular chart and settings, the “Death Cross” happened at the 25,500 price level, which is far too late to do much with it. I looked for other potential “Death Crosses” in other indices, but was hard pressed to find any that would show up reliably.  Any “Golden Cross” is very bullish but it too happens on the late side.

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Mini DJIA 30 Intraday Bull Rally Update

The counter rally has now already played out and is now resuming its decline. There is always the potential for this market to turn, but this correction should still go deeper before it is ready to do so.  Not until, this bullish counter rally is completely retraced will I be satisfied that the bigger bearish phase is in progress.  Hopefully we will know by next week sometime as a wave 3 decline can be pretty devastating.

The entire January bullish phase has been wiped out already devastating  those investors that thought they were “safe” investing at an extreme high.  What very few investors understand is that “Bull” markets, are the breeding grounds for bear markets and they only money flowing into this market is the dumb money.  Not a single contrarian, I respect would buy into this peak as they are too busy setting up their short positions. At the extremes, fundamentals will always tell you the wrong things and this time it’s no different.

Close to a 9 year bull market, many wave analysts keep raising their degree levels as they falsely think that the bigger the bull market the higher the degree levels should become. It works exactly the opposite way as the higher the market goes, it’s the smaller degree levels that are extending, which you would never see in the weekly and monthly charts.

From 1929 to 1932 was a SC degree correction so our present Cycle degree correction should not last much longer, There is no 600 year bear market coming so you can put those bearish thoughts out of your mind.  Sure, chances are very high that a recession is also going to arrive, and when the mass media recognize that fact, then the recession will be over, and a huge new bullish phase will develop.

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DJIA Weekly Chart Melt-Up

The stories are rampant that experts agree about a potential stampeded into stocks, which some are calling for a 20% meltup! Hate to bring you the bad news, but the meltup has “already happened”. For the last two years, since my 4th wave bottom we’ve had a consistent meltup unparalleled in financial history. This is nothing really new as the herd of analysts always seemed to be late in recognizing major turnings as well. In this case it took them a full two years before they saw it as a meltup situation.

One day 2-3 years in the future, we could see the entire situation reverse when the market has already completed a meltdown. Our present market meltdown, is already 5 days old, but the entire 5th wave meltup will get retraced as the 5th wave meltup turns into a Cycle degree 4th wave meltdown. I’m sure that towards the end, we will see vertical moves to the downside which helps to confirm a “C” wave crash.

I drew out another Cycle degree flat and counted how may 5 wave sets and 3 wave sets I need in order to qualify a flat correction. My smallest degree level I will use is in Minor degree, and I would need 6 sets of 5 waves in Minor degree, with 5 sets of “A, B, Cs” in Minor degree. We only need one set of 5 waves in Intermediate degree, which will play out before the Cycle degree crash comes to an end.

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DJIA Potential Counter Rally

As much as this decline was a surprise to most, we could be setting up for a wild counter rally that can take us right back to the 26,300 price levels. I may be wrong, but the bears could be in a mini bear trap as I post. Either way the start of this decline has the makings of a diagonal decline and if it is real, then it must “NOT” charge to a new record high again.

Investors and most experts have no clue how big this next bear market is going to be as they keep talking about, “Buying the Dips”. No worries as many experts say a simple 8% correction will happen and then off to new soaring highs. Good luck with that as the contrarians, I trust, look at a 70% correction.

Even the expert wave counters have very bullish wave counts and they see no 70% decline at all.  At a bare minimum, we should see the DOW drop below 15,000 which is just one previous 4th wave bottom.

In order to really qualify this Cycle degree decline, the DJIA must fall anywhere between 14,000 and 6500 to be considered the previous 4th wave of one lesser degree.

The VIX has also made a very violent move just short of the $18 price level ending with a very vertical spike, so the VIX could also be telling us about an impending counter rally.

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Record ETF Demand In Januaray From A DJIA perspective

Record ETF Demand In January | ETF.com

It just amazes me how the herd keeps jumping into markets at record highs.  They have done this at every record high since 2000 so it does not surprise me that they are doing it again. Due to the fact that since the 2009 bottom we had a “Big and Tall” bull market, many wave analysts have increased their wave degree accordingly. One analyst has the 2009 bottom as a SC degree wave 2 bottom.

Other popular wave analysts still have the potential for a wave 3-4 in Primary degree. Sorry folks, but 5th waves are always fundamental the weakest in the links, and they never last multiple generations. The majority of wave analysts are  still pushing, an 89 year old 5th wave extension.  From the last 2016 4th wave bottom this market shot straight up, with hardly any clear subdivisions. Vertical moves like this is a sign of an ending wave pattern,  not the start of something better to come.

Everything tells me we could be in a wave 3 in Cycle degree and that we are going to get a Cycle degree correction, with 3 waves in Primary degree. I’m going to keep my updates brief,  as I fight through this flue.

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DOW 30 1984-2018 Review

Since early 2016 we had a massive move to the upside where we can hardly make out any wave corrections. This is a classic 5th wave extension, which we’ve had before. From late 1987 to 2000 was nearly a 13 year Minor degree 5th wave extension which makes our present two year run look kind of mundane.

What is dramatically different between the two sets of 5th wave extensions is our present 5th wave in Intermediate degree is in a near vertical position which I have never counted out before even when we go back 200 years or so.  The difference in angles is dramatic, but wave analysts are ignoring this fact as many of them keep adding higher and higher degree levels.

From my 4th wave Intermediate degree bottom, we would still have 7 smaller degree levels that can come out of  hiding. After the wave 4 bottom in Minor degree, (2017) we still would have 6 hidden degree levels, that could come out. I had  to use the remaining 6 hidden degree levels, and during the last degree, we run out of visible 4th waves.

Elliott wave is much more than making simple mindless trade setups, as it is our perception what the Idealized pattern looks like that is the problem. Those pretty impulse waves they show us in the EWP don’t exist. You can search for them all your life and you will not find them. Why? Because all waves are never even.  Until we go back to 1929 and start a fresh wave count will we ever fix this problem of missing bull markets or even bear markets using the EWP.

Missing a bull market should never happen, and frankly the contrarians do a much better job of reading tops and bottoms. The short version is, when our wave counts, are still bearish after reports of insider buying are all over the news, (like 2008), then our wave counts will get trashed. This happened at ever major bottom of 2002 and 2008 leaving the wave counter with nothing but token positions, if that.

In the next few years, chances are good we could hear about DOW 5000, 3000 or even 1000, but don’t believe that as solar cycle #25 will certainly destroy those price forecasts.

I gave up on all high degree wave counting when I saw EWI still being bearish on gold when gold was at $1000.

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DJIA Monster 5th Wave Extension And Impending Bear Market.

 One of the main reasons I always review the big picture, is to check if the wave counts still fit in the big sequence I think I’m working in. From the 2009 bottom to our present top we have what I call “One move”, but it is subdivided into 5 waves in Intermediate degree.  The 2000 peak also ended with a wave 3 in Intermediate degree, but it was the 5th wave in Minor degree that extended at that time. 2002 ended with a wave 4 in Intermediate degree just like a 4th wave in Intermediate degree ended in early 2016.

Folks, it’s the last 5th wave that has dramatically extended, and to be honest, I have never counted or seen such a 5th wave extension anywhere in stock market history. It is a near vertical move that even the 5th wave from 1921-1929 couldn’t match. Due to the fact that our present 5th wave is vertical on weekly and monthly charts means that this rally cannot continue.

Investors are pouring record amounts of money into stocks

The bulls are enticing many to invest at record highs, and some of the recent money flows suggests huge inflows. Buying high and then selling low in a crash is what the general public loves to do, as investors have done this on every major peak since 2000. They call them investors, but investors should not be confused with “Smart Money”.

It’s all emotional money as investors chase a bull market. As long as it keeps going up, everybody is happy, but as soon as these buyers start to take a rest, this market could start on the “Big Dip”.  Besides the potential for a Cycle degree decline that can fall below 2011 lows, this present 5th wave will get completely retraced.  It’s all about smoke and mirrors as the consensus paints us a rosy picture of the future.

Every major peak in history, the talking heads painted us a rosy picture, but what followed had no rosy ending. In late 2008 investors were fleeing the stock market in record numbers, yet the market did the exact opposite thing as the biggest bull market since the depression unfolded. The bull market in 2009 unfolded with a very “big” push from the sun, as solar cycle #24 started.

No little 20% correction will do it, as it might be a 70% correction instead, depending where we count from and if we use a gross or net calculation.

In the bigger scope of things this is not going to end well, as the markets will put those emotional investors through a meat grinder.  Slice, Dice, Hack and Slash will chop all the stock bulls up and get them ready for the fridge.

There is no chance in hell that I will turn into a super stock bull, just because it hasn’t started its bear market yet. If the DOW reaches 7000 or so and the talking heads tell us the DOW is falling to 5000 or even 1000, then I will make a call for the DJIA to roar to 34,000 + by 2029.

From 2009 to present,  we’ve had a 400% run in the DJIA  chart,  so I’m pretty sure the DJIA could make a 500% run up into the  2029 time period.

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Mini DJIA Record High Update

In the last day the DJIA charged up and then instantly reversed heading south. So far we have another world record peak at 26,061 but we have to be aware that it also can still make another mad dash to the upside. In order for the markets being over on the bearish side already, we can keep on getting new record highs. Every new record high can be the last record high, which could mean that the 26,061 price level will end up being the last high of 2018. The VIX has also spiked to newer highs with many gaps opening as well.

Fear is starting to reverberate through the bullish ranks, but this must continue once the markets hit a brick wall.  We need some good looking 5 wave declines  to form,  as 5 wave sequences are the pointers to a new bigger and longer trend.

In the bigger scope of things I’m very bearish even if we get another record high. Not until the majority, (more than 80%), of my contrarian indicators show up, will I turn bullish.

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Solar Cycle #24 And DJIA 1975-2018 Elliott Wave Review

The sunspot number has now been updated to the December end of 2017. The majority couldn’t care less about any influences our sun has on the stock markets back here on earth. Many have researched this connection, as I have done for the last 20 years. Each black dot is a month end calculation of sunspot activity.

We had two major peaks in sunspot activity, one correlated well with the 2011 gold peak and the January 2014 peak coincided before my wave 3  in Intermediate degree ended.  The 2002-2008 sunspot count starting to decline, but the markets loved it at least until 2007.

It may still take a full 3 years until sc#24 ends, and when sc#25 starts from this 2021 time frame, then the markets should follow suite.  Many times the markets experience great upheaval just a year or so before the solar cycle hits a bottom. With the Fed change coming this February, there is usually some upheaval in the markets as well, especially if the markets have already crossed over to the bearish side.  In the end sc#24 produced the biggest bull market since the depression, lasting well over 8 years now.

In the next 2-3 years the stock bears can do a lot of damage, but once 2021 rolls around and the sunspot polarity has started to flip, then we had better look for a brand new bull market to start. If you think investors are any smarter today than what they were with the 2000 or 2007 peaks, then you are sadly mistaken. The average majority will never learn that the “majority” can’t win at this game of accumulating wealth.

The sad part about the solar cycles is that even the wave analysts ignore them, as in March of 2009 they still had very bearish wave counts still to be completed.  Yet the markets turned up in 2009 and never looked back as the bearish wave counting herd were caught in a bear trap. When we are caught in any type of a trap we are ill prepared for what comes next. The markets were already showing signs of an impending reversal in late 2008.

 

I just love to show readers the linear version of the DOW as the bullish phase from the 2016 bottom to our present top is one of the most vertical moves I have ever  tried to count. I show 2 sets of 5 wave sequences in Intermediate degree, with no other degree levels labeled. I use no other indicators or prices, and I spew out little or no fundamental reasoning when markets go up or down. Markets will always act in such a fashion to never let the majority win. Sure, during any bull market it is perceived that the majority are winning, but that is only wealth on paper. During a big bear market, all this paper wealth starts to disappear and years of bullish progress go up in smoke.

The first set of 5 waves in Intermediate degree,  are much bigger physical moves. The 2015-2016 bearish phase contained a much smaller intermediate degree 4th wave. There is nothing wrong with that as there is a one degree difference between the two 5 wave sets. There are 2 sets of wave 3 positions not labeled which is deliberate, so it will force any wave analysts to scratch this time, wondering what is supposed to be between the 2 sets of 5 waves.

This market has soared since the 2016 bottom, but it also shows next to no corrections from a monthly chart perspective.  This is a bad omen in the bigger scope of things, as the markets do correct back down to the previous 4th wave of one lesser degree.  The DOW 15,000 price level is a previous 4th wave alright, but it’s the previous 4th wave of a Primary degree that a Cycle degree has to correct down to.

In 2009 the markets went a bit lower than the previous 4th wave of one lesser degree, which has no real meaning or future implications at this time. Many 4th waves travel below previous 4th waves of one lesser degree. Besides the markets have a tendency to fool the majority of participants and so to piss off all the mega bears, the markets will “not”  go below the 2009 lows again.  They could  turn earlier than expected, and start to soar. You can thank solar cycle #25 for the next big bull market, as those investors that follow or believe in the “grand” or “super” theory will be left empty handed again.

I see this as a massive missed opportunity, which makes the Elliott Wave Principle very inefficient,  if we keep on missing major bull markets. As long as wave analysts are happy painting mindless numbers and letters on the charts, then they will never enjoy catching a 5 or 8 year bull moves when they do come.

Every failed wave count must be followed by a serious look at the “entire” wave structure. A minimum of two higher degree levels than the failed wave degree must be initiated instantly.  In 2009 Primary degree wave 1 failed so the “ENTIRE” 5 wave sequence in Supercycle degree must be counted again. Modern wave analysts have refused to do this as it’s just too much like work. If you spend your time looking at many other wave counts, virtually every wave position today is still spewing out SC and GSC degree wave counts.

For the last 5 years I have shifted to Cycle degree wave analysis. Until all 5 waves in Cycle degree are found and confirmed, “NO” SC or GSC degree wave counts can find a base.

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Mini DJIA Record High Bull Trap Update

This Mini DJIA contract reached a peak of 25,414 yesterday, followed by a wild counter rally that also looks like a counter rally. It may take the rest of the week to clear up, but if this counter rally is over on the bearish side already, then no new record highs should happen.  One main reason is due to the many extensions we have had, but also another main reason is that we are in a much higher degree level than the 2000 and 2007 peaks were. Even a normal correction would retrace this entire small degree 5th wave before the next leg up can occur.

Any bigger correction will have no problem in trashing the 24,650 price level. Any previous bull market low can provide limited support, but eventually we need to end up with a 3 wave Primary degree correction that would send the markets into a very deep bear market. Markets always tend to head back down to the previous 4th wave of one lesser degree, and sometimes they even go “under” the previous 4th wave. In this case the previous 4th wave bottom would be the 6500 price level. That 2009 crash bottom went well below the previous 4th wave in Intermediate degree, so technically the markets could do the same thing again.

Markets do have a twisted knack of fooling all the players and non players alike, so just to frustrate us this time around,  the 4th wave will “not” dip below 2009 levels. 😉 Even if it does, it will mean nothing in the big scope of things.

The Gold/DJIA ratio is just a bit above 19:1 where it’s been for over a month already. It takes 19 Troy ounces to buy one unit of the DJIA, and it’s  the highest expensive ratio I have on record.

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DJIA 2000-2017 Elliott Wave Bull Bear Market Reviews


The chart above is a stretched weekly chart which shows any vertical moves in a more dramatic fashion. The Elliott Wave Principle was observed using the DJIA charts and coincidentally the DJIA and the other indices all have similar patterns and wave counts. Always reviewing the largest degree levels is very important, as we have to make sure that it still fits into the larger picture that we think we are in. The reason why all these 3-4 sets of waves appear, is because we always have to look for wave 3 to be the longest or extended wave. Since 1932 any wave 3 has never been extended, but it’s always been the 5th wave that the experts extended. 5th wave extensions “never” travel across multiple generations as 5th waves are fundamentally very weak.

When the majority of expert wave analysts didn’t see the bull markets coming both times in 2002 and 2009, I knew this SC and GSC degree hype had “MAJOR” flaws in it.  As soon as any part of the largest degree level has failed, then the entire 5 wave sequence from its start, “MUST” be thrown out. Of course, this is too much like work, so the majority of wave analysts just makes a few cosmetic changes, and “bingo”, they end up with a new and improved,  wave pattern. Cosmetic wave counting doesn’t work, and if we just keep making pretty changes, we will miss every major bull market that will ever come in our future.

Just by not being prepared before any high degree bull market starts, makes the Elliott Wave Principle very inefficient and pretty useless. I was brainwashed with this GSC degree mania myself, and once I realized that the DJIA would not implode in 2011, I knew a major flaw was still present in all our wave counts. It’s pretty sad when expert wave analysts miss a bull market and leave 300% gains on the table.

Any person with a very healthy investing account can not afford to miss any bull market in their lives. It takes time to make the mental switch from a long bearish phase and then back to an impending long bullish phase. It takes time to accumulate strong ETF positions so we need lots of early warnings. Even Warren Buffet screamed how bullish he was back in 2008, and my favorite contrarian was turning very bullish as well. It wasn’t until March 2009 that any wave counts were ending, so wave analysts were close to 6 months out, in recognizing that a major bottom has arrived.

In late 2008 conventional conditions were already showing us that the 2008 financial crisis was coming to an end. Insiders buying their own shares back, is a clear sign that the bull market was coming to an end. Insiders don’t buy if the 2009 bottom was just a wave 1 in Primary degree. They already knew that the markets were  oversold on a massive scale, so it was a no-brainer for them to buy stocks. Even the VIX started peaking out in late 2008, which all helped to seal the coffin containing all the stock bears.

My top in 2000 was wave 3 in Intermediate degree with its start in 1982. Once the markets crashed in 2002, it was followed by a 5 year bull market that most wave analysts also missed. From this 1982 bottom it was exactly 20 years to the 2002 bottom, which is part of the 20 year cycle so prevalent in the markets.

Each peak progressively gets higher in degrees, but Supercycle wave 3 is still far away in time and price. SC degree wave 3, never mind GSC degree wave 3, may not end until the 2029 time period.  Not until “All” 5 waves in Cycle degree are found and confirmed, can we progress into any SC degree world.

The 2009-2017 bull market was a very choppy bull market, further confusing us into believing it was just another bearish rally. It wasn’t until the DJIA was past the 2007 peak did wave experts look for alternates.

Hindsight has to be turned into foresight, and I have been very specific with the wave counts that we need to confirm a Cycle degree bear market. This is so we can catch any major errors as soon as possible. When I’m wrong, I’ll be wrong in spectacular fashion.  Short term, wave counts are always foggy to say the least, but we want to get the biggest degree as close as we can, well before any real bottom is in.

When the markets are pointing up, and the majority are all guessing how far that this bull market still has to go, I have already painted the picture for when the markets point down again. Bull market tops are the breeding grounds for bear markets, and the reason this is so, is because there’s “nobody” left to get in.

The bullish preachers are preaching to the crowd that has been converted for months already. All we need is for the, “Greatest Fool” to  crawl out of his cave and he will be left holding the bag of falling asset prices.

Buy Low, Sell High  is a very important PDF to understand, which combined with the beautiful color PDF chart below, makes a powerful case for contrarian thinking.  ‎www.longwavegroup.com/market/charts/_pdf/Anatomy_of_A_BullandBear_Market_with_Money_Flow_0930.pdf

Like Rick Rule says, ” you’re either a contrarian, or you become a victim”.

If you have progressed, or lucky to have a strong net worth and you would like to enhance the contrarian point of view, then I strongly suggest that you subscribe to  Steven Jon Kaplans True Contrarian Newsletter.  

 

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DJIA Intraday New Record Top Review

This world has many price bubbles in it, far too many to name from memory. From my perspective, I can name a dozen or so, but that’s about it. In the impending bull market bust, many of these bubbles will pop together, including all those most popular Cryptos coming out. I watched a video of Peter Schiff, and he says there are close to 1000 digital currencies coming out. 

I’m sure Bitcoin and the DJIA will crash together in the next few years, so be smart and stay away from this Crypto madness. 

This market refuses to go down, which could mean it will last into 2018.  I’m sure year end profit taking can still happen, but even then the DJIA has to dip very low, so it can no longer come back this year. 

Somewhere I have to find a home for my Cycle degree wave 3, that will last forever, and never be dethroned!  The impending bear market is not SC degree nor is it anywhere near GSC degree, as these two degree levels have “NEVER” been confirmed by anyone! 

At a very bare minimum, since the 2000 peak, we should have had 5 waves down in Intermediate degree, yet in the last 17 years not a single set of 5 waves has developed, except for the Nasdaq, which  is questionable.  GSC degree needs at least 1, 5 wave run in Primary degree,  yet they have never materialized as well. To put it bluntly, it’s impossible for any SC and GSC degree world to exist, until “all” Cycle degree peaks are found first.  

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Mini DJIA Intraday Record Highs Review.

So far the December, 4th peak of 24,542 has not been retraced just yet.  All futures contracts will be the March 2018 contracts. The DJIA produced a small double bottom and then took off in the northeasterly direction, the second bottom traveled to new lows by the slimmest of margins, so this makes it a potential expanded pattern.  This market can still head to new record highs, but with the same breath another new leg heading south can happen.

We are at very small degree levels so I start with the Micro degrees,  to look for impulse or diagonal waves.  Stocks are in a bubble, and investors love them, but the DJIA is not as crazy like Bitcoin is. Real stock manias happen in wave 3 peaks, and not that much in the 5th waves.  From the 2011 lows to about 2015 was “stock mania” as well, and that was a wave 3 move.

Once it becomes obvious that the markets are heading down, will they run to Bitcoin or gold as a safe-haven? Stocks, US dollar and Bitcoin chart prices are pointing up, as gold is pointing down. This situation has happened throughout market history, so it’s nothing new if we’ve done our market research. Being brainwashed into thinking a “New Era” has arrived or saying, “It’s different this time”  is a myth, as the only thing that is truly different is “Time.”

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DJIA New Record High Update

Early this morning the Mini DJIA created a new record high of 24,531 and has now backed off a little. From the mid November low at my Minuette degree 4th wave bottom, the DJIA exploded. This is not an impulse 5 wave run, but is a diagonal 5 wave run, with a few extensions thrown in to add to this 5th wave extension. 

We also have a huge open gap just below this peak, so it should not take too long for this gap to get closed. The peak number to beat now sits at 24,531. If we add another 1.382 to this peak we get close to 33,901. This is about as close to 34,000 that we get get, but that target will never get hit on this trip, which started in March of 2009. 

From my perspective, it is extremely important to know exactly where we are counting from, otherwise we really can’t figure out where we are. My concern is the entire set of 5 waves in Cycle degree, as without those locations being found, it is impossible for us to be in any higher degree. SC and GSC degree forecasts will mean nothing as  those numbers, is just a number picked out of thin air.  Forecasting doom and gloom is designed to strike fear into investors’ hearts, so they can sell more subscriptions. 

I have seen wave counts in the DOW starting with the peak of 1929 which has about 9 locations with unknown wave positions labeled on it,  yet it is a very popular site.  All it takes is one questionable wave count in our past, but nine?? Give me a break people!!

For those that just love to take the SC and GSC degree punishment, then my site is not for you. I maintain about 10-15 Gold/Ratios which is a big help when we have to judge when some asset class is expensive or cheap.   This morning the DJIA reached another record extreme at 19.27:1, which means it takes 19.27 gold ounces to buy one unit of the DOW, and it is the most extreme expensive ratio that I have calculated out. On the cheap side of the DJIA,  we need to get closer to 7.19:1, which may still take about 3 years. 

 

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DJIA 2000-2017 Review

I review the past more than other wave analysts do because we always have to check that everything remains in sequence to the largest degree. All the idealized charts are posted and online. The professional wave analysts do not do this so everybody thinks we are in extended 5th waves. This creates bearish fundamental forecasts of doom and gloom that will never happen. One such bear market forecast is that the DJIA will hit the 5000 price level.

There is nothing at this 5000 price level to offer support, so that number is just a number picked out of thin air. In the case of this DOW chart, wave 3 and wave 5 were the two extended wave’s, while wave one was a bit smaller.  I used the simplified version of 5 waves up in Intermediate degree, except for the last 5th wave which I turned into an ending diagonal.  

These vertical runs never last, especially if we get a Cycle degree 4th wave bear market.  Just a simple Intermediate degree correction would take the DOW below 16,000. We could see another big rally at that time, but eventually the DJIA will fall below the 2011 lows, of 10,000.

Can the entire sequence be wrong? Sure, it can but how wrong were they in 2009 when they said DOW 1000 was coming! Many believe that fundamentals drive stock prices, but that has never been true. At the 2009 bottom, where did it show, that fundamentals drive stock prices.  Even during the great depression the DOW created a “V” like bottom totally ignoring fundamentals as stocks started on a 5 year bull market. In 1975 stocks imploded as well, with investors being very bearish, yet the market turned and soared until 2000. 

Since 2000, we have been looking at 3 peaks, all containing wave 3 tops. These wave 3 tops must all be in sequence in a Cycle degree  extended wave three.  Since the 2002 bottom each 5 wave bull market has increased by one degree, so the next big bull market must have 5 waves up in Primary degree.   When the DOW is at 24,000 it is an easy call for DOW 30,000, but when the DOW is sitting at 7000 or 8000, then DOW 34,000 will be my call. 

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Mini DJIA Intraday, Crash, Bang, Boom Review

On the exact date of the 30 year 1987 crash, the markets did crash, but then turned around and soared to new record highs again. I’m sure that many market bears were already shorting the markets, but many of their stop loss orders were triggered. It seems pretty ironic that the markets moved the exact opposite way that many 1987 crash watchers were thinking.

I had to move my smallest degree levels up one degree which extends this insane market a bit more. Did we just have a mini violent 87′ crash? Maybe, but many 4th wave crashes also give us a warning, with the only difference being what degree level we think we are working in. Sure the 1987 crash was a big deal at that time, and most wave analysts called it a Primary degree 4th wave crash. If we look back in chart history the 87 crash looks like a little bump compared to what we have had since the peak of 2000.

Once all the markets have been extended, the 1987 crash was a  Minor degree wave 3-4 crash, which is a full 2 degrees lower than any Primary degree crash. A 2 degree difference,  can throw any wave count out by 2.618 times. Worst of all, the wrong count for the 1987 crash pushes us into SC and GSC degree wave counts much sooner than we should be.

After the 1987 crash the markets soared as a 5th wave extention, that turned into another stock market mania. As I post the markets are still pushing higher  so this rally still wants to head up.

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