T-Bond Monthly Chart 1981-2018 Review

 

This is just a simple version, but we have to back to 1981 when this big bullish phase started. There is definitely a 60-year cycle to T-Bonds which is just 2, 30 cycles back to back. 1981+60 gets us to 2041, which is my SC degree wave 3 top as well. This bull market is far from over as there is no threat of inflation. All the commercial COT numbers show that they have net long positions in everything related to bonds. This does not support a bigger bearish phase at all. Even the 30-day Fed fund rate has been stagnating, showing that the Fed may be forced to pause or slow down the rate increases, and maybe even reverse.

I need lots of work to find a better fit, but a new bullish phase to new record high bond prices sure would help to confirm my bullish outlook.

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