Mini DJIA Intraday Rally Update

 

In the last 3-4 days, the DJIA has been in a rally which I still consider as being a bear market rally. There still may be some upside to go but this stock rally should run out of steam this week. Chances are also good that the general decline may have to get adjusted as a diagonal wave structure, but it’s not critical at this time.  Either way, I’m looking for 5 waves down in Minor degree which should finish at a Primary degree, “A” wave bottom.  From an Elliott Wave perspective, large degree “A” wave bottoms are, “Buy” signals.

The Gold/DJIA ratio was about 20:1 which my database shows as still being extremely expensive to gold. It requires 20 gold ounces to buy one unit of the DJIA which is a far cry away from the 7:1 ratio it was when the DJIA was cheap. That day will come again, but we may have a long way to go before the Gold/DJIA ratio becomes cheap. There are still too many stock bulls around when they scream, “Buy On The Dips”!  We will get our dip, but there will be many more dips if this is a Cycle degree bear market.

Investors run from low prices in stocks, as they did at every major bottom since the 2000 peak. In the real world, shoppers rush to lower prices but they love to do the opposite in the markets. That would be the same as only buying high priced gasoline at your local pumps.  When the markets start to point down again, then they are also selling when they are in a mini-panic situation. VTX is splitting up so the internal composition of the DJIA 30 will change. If it makes a major change to my wave counts remains to be seen, but most of the time I have noticed no change.

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