This is the June 2019 contract where oil has just crossed the 50-day MA line which should give us some resistance. Crude oil shows a golden cross has formed in 2018, but it happened about 26 months after the 2016 bottom.
Crude oil would have to keep soaring to avoid a death cross from forming. Crude oil would have to crash well below $51 for the 50-day MA to cross the 200-day MA again. The $51 price level is also very close to a 60% correction so anything can still happen.
Commercial hedgers do not support the bullish herd, so its just a matter of time before oil will show us a correction or a crash that can take oil down to the previous support at the $45-$44 price level.
A complete retracement of the 2019 oil rally, would confirm that the 2019 move was just a bear rally. I’m looking at oil from a triangle perspective but could abandon that idea if a huge spike to the downside were to develop.
I track the gold/oil ratio and might make 3-4 calculations every month while in April I made about 6 calculations. All of April the Gold/Oil ratio averaged between 19-20:1 which is the most expensive readings I show since November 2018, about 6 months ago.
The 20:1 ratio seems to be a Gold/Oil ratio price brick wall which should start to spread again, once oil decides that this run has gone far enough.
The global warming alarmists should be jumping for joy that we have high gas prices at the pumps. Right? Well, it’s not rocketed science folks but talking to local retail gas station staff, the feedback is people are not happy campers when in BC we could have one of the highest pump prices in the world.
The blame game continues as our fearless Prime Minister is blaming high gas prices on our BC government!