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Category Archives: FXB

FXB: Invesco Currency Shares British Pound Sterling Trust (ETF)

This FXB chart is an ETF that seems to act very well to the regular futures charts I use. There are little differences but not enough to impact major changes from the British Pound futures charts.

The big thing is that this ETF follows as close as possible to the futures charts, not like all those leveraged funds do. It also shows the late 2007 peak which matches the oil peak. Markets started to crash 2007-8 and this ETF crashed right along with the stock markets as well. Gold also imploded as the US dollar exploded in price from 2007 to 2009.

For well over 5 years the FXB went sideways with many rallies and crashes. From 2009 to 2014 that sideways market has been confirmed to be just a big bear market rally as the 2016-2017 crash bottom, completely retracing back to the start of origin, which was the early 2009 bottom.

When some gold experts tell me some forecast where the FXB is going to jump out of the US dollar basket, then they are forgetting the inverse relationship that’s always present

That brings us to our November 16th bottom as I was bullish but it is not responding as bullish as it should, so I have to look at this as a good chance that more downside is still to come.

There is so little price cushion to spare, so any day next week we could see support just melt away!

There could be a new downside to come and it will not be the over or end until a new BP record low is achieved. The way I see it at this time is that the British Pound can land at the same Primary degree “A” wave bottom as all the USA stock indices, silver, Cad, Euro, and gold. I’m sure there are a few more I missed to mention. It’s not about one asset class that may turn, it’s the majority as they are all connected.

In the long run, the BP could be a flat and this bear market is just the zigzag intro. We could get another zigzag bullish phase but once that has been completed, the 5 waves down in Intermediate degree show happen. That’s one thing zigzags and flats have in common they have same 5 waves down their “C” wave slope.

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