Daily Archives: February 10, 2018

XIV, Death Of An Elliott Wave Count!

 

Once I switched this chart to a daily type setting,  the big long spike had opened up into a massive gap. This ETN is history folks, as they plan to stop trading it on February, 20th, 2018. It will disappear into the dustbins of history and take this wave count with it.  You can add a Cycle degree wave 3 to this peak, but you will never ever see Cycle degree wave 4.  The gravitational pull was so great that not even light could escape from it.  Just like centers of universes have black holes, this ETN is also imploding into a black hole.

Credit Suisse ends obscure volatility security after an 80% plunge

 

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Crude Oil Crash Update

This is the April 2018 contract month, but it’s a bit too far ahead in time. It’s not a big deal as we still have to figure out what the potential wave count is.   We do have a double top kind of a pattern which I’m working as a diagonal set of 5 waves down. On Friday we ended with a sharp spike to the downside which can produce another rally push crude oil right back up to the $60 price level.

Even now this crude oil slump has not gone deep enough for the bearish phase to be called finished, so this impending rally could be another fake as well.  I’m looking for a possible zigzag correction in Minor degree which I can’t call completed at this time.

The Gold/Oil ratio has improved somewhat, but not by any great leaps and bounds. At 22.34:1 it is now back to where the ratio was in early December of 2017.  The ratio may not be any help to us at this time, unless it shifts dramatically in a very short period of time.

In the short term I may have to shift my degree levels a bit, but I might do that after this rally completely fails to materialize.

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