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Category Archives: HEMP

HMMJ, Another Look At The Marijuana Related ETF

I’m going to make this HMMJ ETF the mainstay ETF that I will track the high flying marijuana stocks. It’s in Canadian funds but there is a US dollar version out as well. The last time I mentioned that the vertical move this ETF has made could not be maintained, and this correction is a result of going too fast, too far.

I will not post intraday results, but only post when a strong turning can happen.

It can take years to build a decent wave count, but the rally between my two arrows, is one of the best real world examples of an impulse, I have seen. Wave 1 subdivided very nicely with wave three also extending as it contains a perfect 1-2, 1-2 and a third 1-2 wave structure. The last 5th wave did the real heavy lifting as it extended dramatically.

The near perfect 5 wave sequence suggests that there are no leverage products involved, so these moves are organic and no slippage or other detrimental leveraging tools seem to be present. From my perspective, this is a very good thing. Is the dip down to $19 enough of a correction or is there a bit more to go down to the $15 price level?  Gaps are present, but if gaps appear under more volume than I will use them.

From the bottom arrow to the top arrow, there was over a 300% gain in just 5-6 months. I manage to catch most of a single stock for a 660% gain, but will look at buying in again with 3 other hemp related growers.  Some of the single marijuana stocks are moving like Cryptocurrecies have moved, which is a unique opportunity for investors with Canadian funds. Jumping on any bandwagon could be the end of a run, so as soon as a person buys in, it dramatically corrects.

It may take the rest of the month before the correction is finished, but it could end early and the bull market would resume without me.

I am also starting to track the Gold/HMMJ ratio and so far it has been fluctuating in a pretty crazy fashion. The bottom low was close to a 150:1 ratio with a top ratio touching 51:1. Today it sits at 62:1. I don’t have enough history just yet to make the Gold/HMMJ ratio useful, but over time the ratios should become  very useful.

HMMJ, Hemp ETF Bull Market Update.

This chart is a bit old, but this morning’s action doesn’t change any of the wave counts. HMMJ is already at $20 this morning.

Talk about a wild ride with this Hemp related ETF. It peaked at $25.56 before it reversed in a dramatic fashion. Any move like this cannot be maintained and it must correct. To go vertical it does so under high speed until no more suckers are left chasing a bull market. As a herd they have to take a break form buying as well.

I counted the bottom as a truncated 4th bottom, but with a small degree. If there is more to this bullish phase, then we should get some type of a 3 wave declining wave structure, much bigger than any correction we have seen. We have gaps open well below present prices, but they can’t be trusted for potential reversals at this time. If we are in any type of a wave 1 top, then a 50-60% correction could happen.

The $13 price level is my previous 4th wave of one lesser degree, which also matches the bottom trend line. On Monday I sold my Hemp stock after going ballistic, but I will buy it back once a sufficient correction unfolds.

Finding a great bottom with this HMMJ ETF will not be a walk in the park, as we can be far off the mark when it happens. Now if the 6 o’clock news is full about crashing Hemp stocks, then chances are good any bearish phase has ended, and a reversal would be near. Of course we have no clue at what price level that can happen at.

Our entire planet runs on price and fundamental analysis, but everything I do is pattern related. The pattern has to show itself first, as it matters little if a wave 2 bottom is $5 or $50

HMMJ, Horizons Marijuana Life Sciences Index ETF (ETF)

I do not give “Buy or Sell” recommendations on any ETF or single stocks. I can only relay my feelings if I’m bullish or bearish at any given time. I have several Marijuana related stock positions myself, but which ones that will move into a bull market, takes many years of due diligence. Or you trust someone that has done his due diligence already.  I have some people I meet that want to jump on the Hemp bandwagon, but yet when you ask them if they have a Canadian trading account set up, they say, “No”.  These kinds of investors are jumping in with an emotional decision and are many years behind or late.

These types of investors that are getting in because they hear about the Hemp bull market in Canada from friends and news networks, are far too slow or late.

The HMMJ,  Horizons Marijuana Life Sciences Index ETF (ETF) is a prime example of a well advanced bullish phase. HMMJ can keep right on going, but chances are good when you jump in, a correction ensues and this ETF could drop 30-40% in no time at all.

Sure Canada has a great new bull market, but all this hype could end once the legal supply and demand numbers get filled. Unless the numbers tell me different, Canada’s hemp users are not growing by leaps and bounds, but the numbers could eventually run into a brick wall with no new users trying the product.

Any grower has to follow strict Canada Health Board regulations, so there are major hoops that any legal grower has to abide by.